Reports

Reports
Reports

Our mission is to provide expertise about the processes taking place in post-Soviet countries, and Russian diaspora, influence public opinion and advise interested institutions on policies related to these topics.

reports
June 2026
Comparative Study of News Consumption, Trust in Sources, and Media Practices among Russian-Speaking Audiences Inside Russia and in Exile

How is news consumption among Russian-speaking audiences changing under the pressures of war, emigration, censorship and digital fragmentation? The study compares media practices inside Russia and among Russian-speaking emigrants, showing why a hybrid model centred on television and Telegram persists in Russia, while in exile the news core shifts towards Telegram, YouTube and independent media. Particular attention is paid to how trust, habit, fear, platform logic and news fatigue reshape not only the choice of information sources, but the very structure of public awareness.

reports
May 2026
RUSSIAN YOUTH 2026. ANALYTICAL REPORT OB THE FINDINGS OF EIGHT FOCUS GROUPS

What does urban Russian youth aged 18–30 really think about the war, emigration, the “West”, the much-discussed “turn to the East”, and life under internet restrictions? Based on eight focus groups, the study offers a strikingly coherent portrait of a generation that is far less ideologised than is often assumed: pragmatic, politically apathetic, and still culturally oriented towards the West. It is a close look at how young Russians respond to state narratives, why they do not condemn those who leave, and why VPNs have become part of everyday life.

reports
April 2026
OVERVIEW OF THE KEY RISKS FACING THE REPUBLIC OF CYPRUS OVER NEXT 20 YEARS

Assessment of relocation and investment risks in the Republic of Cyprus unrelated to short-term economic factors and market fluctuations

reports
February 2026
DEATHONOMICS: THE SOCIAL, POLITICAL, AND ECONOMIC COSTS OF WAR FOR RUSSIA

This report examines how Russia’s war against Ukraine has given rise to a new socio-economic system — “deathonomics” — in which human life is monetized and death at the front becomes a source of income for the state, families, and regions. Drawing on data on military pay, compensation schemes, and recruitment patterns, the author shows how this model simultaneously props up the economy, suppresses dissent, and profoundly reshapes attitudes toward law, violence, and the value of life. The report goes beyond describing the mechanics of this system to pose a disturbing question: what consequences will deathonomics have for Russia — and for Europe — if it solidifies as a postwar norm?

reports
January 2026
DID RUSSIA REALLY HAVE A GASOLINE CRISIS?

The report examines what really lay behind the alarming headlines about a “fuel crisis” in Russia in the summer of 2023 — a genuine nationwide shortage or a media-driven panic. Drawing on nationwide survey data from Russian drivers, the author distinguishes between isolated disruptions and systemic problems in fuel availability. Particular attention is paid to regional variation and to why certain areas became focal points of public concern. The report also shows how seasonal demand and logistical factors can amplify the perception of crisis even in the absence of large-scale shortages. Overall, it offers a data-driven reality check and a framework for assessing similar claims in the future.

reports
November 2025
THE FIFTH WAVE OF RUSSIAN EXODUS: LIFE BETWEEN PUTIN'S AUTOCRACY AND THE EUROPEAN BUREAUCRACY

This report offers the first comprehensive analysis of the massive “fifth wave” of Russian exodus, revealing how hundreds of thousands of educated, economically active, and politically dissenting Russians find themselves caught between Putin’s autocracy and Europe’s administrative barriers. Drawing on data from Georgia, Serbia, and Central Asian countries, the authors trace the social profile of the new diaspora, its political attitudes, its economic impact on host nations, and the long-term damage this outflow inflicts on Russia itself. The study shows why this wave is unlike any before it, how it is already reshaping regional dynamics, and why it is crucial for Europe to understand who these people are—those it is receiving, and those Russia is losing.

reports
October 2025
THE DICTATOR'S LEGASY: A NEW ZASTOY

The report portrays a Russia entering a decade of political and economic stagnation. It argues that the Kremlin has successfully adapted to wartime conditions—maintaining a stable budget, a positive trade balance, and low public debt—while sacrificing long-term growth and innovation. Political control now overrides economic logic, suppressing private enterprise and investment. Structural weaknesses such as an aging workforce, low productivity, and technological isolation deepen this decline, while the “pivot to the East” cements dependency on China. Sanctions no longer threaten collapse but lock Russia into a slow drift toward obsolescence. After the war, no recovery boom is expected: defense cuts will be gradual, growth minimal, and the so-called “peace dividend” consumed by fiscal repairs. The report concludes that Russia’s main vulnerability lies not in macroeconomics but in its personalist governance, where the stability of the system depends on a single decision-maker. For the outside world, the message is clear: Russia is unlikely to implode, but it will remain stagnant—closed, centralized, and aging, like the “bear in a wheel” depicted on the cover.

reports
August 2025
SOCIO-POLITICAL STUDY OF RUSSIANS AND RESIDENTS OF EU COUNTRIES
reports
May 2025
EUROPEAN RUSSIA: THE UNOBVIOUS IMPERATIVE OF THE 21ST CENTURY
reports
April 2025
ALTERNATIVES TO THE NANSEN PASSPORT
Proposals for Optimizing EU-Issued Identification Documents for Exiles

Thousands of Russian nationals in Europe risk losing their legal status due to potential mass refusals to renew passports by Russian authorities. Our study highlights the urgent need for a simplified, unified EU-wide procedure for issuing temporary travel documents as an alternative to the slow asylum system. Drawing on historical precedents like Nansen passports, we advocate for emergency mechanisms that protect politically persecuted individuals and prevent legal limbo-ensuring both humanitarian protection and European security.

reports
March 2025
INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS UNDER SANCTIONS
Organization of Cross-Border Transactions under Sanctions and The Impact of Area-Specific Restrictions on the Russian Economy

The technicalities of international transactions under the sanctions. Dеtailed description of the mechanisms behind the transactions as well as the way they can evolve in the future. Analysis the impact the facts described have had on Russian businesses and the economy as a whole.

reports
February 2025
NEW CONTAINMENT
The West's Strategy Toward the Moscow–Beijing Axis

Russia will, by no means, scrap its revanchist policy whatever the Ukraine war endgame may be. Any deal that could or might be made in 2025 will only enshrine a truce. Meanwhile, the West’s stance on the Kremlin will be a matter as pressing as it is now.
Three years into the war in Ukraine, the global geopolitical landscape has shifted dramatically, necessitating a reassessment of Western strategy. With over one million casualties, $400 billion spent by Ukraine and its allies, and more than 4.2 million Ukrainian refugees, the conflict remains at a stalemate. The new U.S. administration under President Donald Trump advocates for a ceasefire, though such an agreement risks future escalation if it concedes territory to Russia. The report emphasizes the need for a long-term containment strategy that avoids direct military confrontation, leverages economic and technological sanctions, prevents the spread of authoritarian influence, and secures Ukraine within Western alliances. Ultimately, the report concludes that only a comprehensive containment doctrine—combining economic pressure, military deterrence, and geopolitical alignment—can effectively counter Russian aggression and ensure European security without direct NATO involvement.

reports
December 2024
THE PRICE OF LIFE
A Study of Russians’ Willingness to Fight for Money

We analyzed the factors motivating Russians to enlist in military service contracts, including both material and non-material incentives. Additionally, we examined men’s demands for higher financial compensation. Based on the study, an assessment was made of Russia’s potential to attract human resources for participation in military operations.
This study explores the key factors motivating Russian citizens to sign military service contracts, analyzing both material incentives, such as financial compensation, and non-material drivers like patriotism, social status, and perceived duty. Special attention is given to the demands of male recruits for higher salaries and financial benefits, revealing how economic hardship and regional disparities influence enlistment decisions. The research also provides a comprehensive assessment of Russia’s ability to attract sufficient human resources to sustain military operations, considering demographic trends and societal attitudes toward military service. The findings highlight the critical role that financial incentives play in recruitment and offer insights into Russia’s capacity to maintain long-term military engagement.

reports
December 2024
ATTITUDES AND MOODS OF RUSSIAN PHYSICIANS
Research on emigration sentiments of Russian physicians

This study examines the current sentiments, professional outlook, and migration intentions of Russian medical professionals. It provides an in-depth analysis of how economic conditions, political factors, and workplace environments influence the attitudes of physicians across Russia. The research highlights key concerns among medical practitioners, including access to professional development, job satisfaction, and perceptions of the healthcare system’s future. Additionally, the study explores the potential for emigration among Russian physicians, identifying the main barriers and motivations behind their decisions to stay or seek opportunities abroad. The findings offer valuable insights into the stability and resilience of Russia’s healthcare workforce in the face of ongoing social and political changes.

reports
December 2024
ATTITUDES AND MOODS OF RUSSIAN IT-SPECIALISTS
Research on emigration sentiments of Russian IT employees

This research explores the professional sentiments, emigration intentions, and key challenges faced by Russian IT specialists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic shifts. The study analyzes how political uncertainty, economic sanctions, and restricted access to global markets impact the career prospects and personal decisions of IT professionals in Russia. It highlights the primary motivations driving their potential relocation to Europe and other regions, including access to advanced technologies, career growth opportunities, and political freedoms. The report also identifies the main obstacles hindering emigration, such as visa issues, relocation costs, and cultural barriers. The findings provide critical insights into the future of Russia’s IT workforce and its implications for both the domestic technology sector and the global talent market.

reports
November 2024
THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY AT THE TIME OF WAR
Growth Without Development: Stability and Resilience Over a 3-5 Year Horizon

The report analyzes the effectiveness of Western sanctions on Russia, revealing that despite extensive measures, the sanctions have not significantly weakened Russia’s ability to finance its war in Ukraine. Russia’s economy remains resilient enough to sustain military operations for at least the next few years. The analysis highlights that even if active combat ends, Russia will likely continue its aggressive foreign policy through hybrid warfare tactics. It emphasizes the need for a revised sanctions strategy that imposes long-term economic pressure on sectors critical to Russia’s military-industrial complex while minimizing economic harm to Germany and Europe.

reports
June 2024
NEW RUSSIAN DIASPORA IN THE EU
A Study of Russian Emigrants in Germany, France, Cyprus, and Poland

The report assesses both scale and roots of the outward migration from the Russian Federation. The authors argue that Russians who had recently left their country possess significant human capital that may be used almost exclusively in Europe or the Americas.

reports
May 2024
IMPACT OF SANCTIONS
The Russian Economy Under Sanctions: Key Figures

This analysis explores the surprising resilience of the Russian economy despite Western sanctions and the war in Ukraine, challenging initial predictions of severe economic collapse. It examines current economic trends and evaluates the actual impact of Western sanctions on Russia’s capacity to sustain its military efforts. The core focus lies on discerning the factors that allow Russia to resist the external pressures, giving insights into the potential duration and implications of the ongoing conflict.

reports
October 2023
RUSSIA UNDER NON-MILITARY PRESSURES: EXPECTATIONS, REALITIES, AND LESSONS OF SANCTIONS

Center of Analysis and Strategies in Europe is a newly-established independent think tank focused on stimulating international expert dialogue on pressing issues such as security and intercultural communication.